Brexit is destroying Britain

More confirmation that the number of people who may consider supporting a rejoin campaign is on a downward trajectory. That’s why it’s not part of the mainstream political agenda

Table 4: Current Brexit preference by 2016 EU referendum vote by evaluations of the impact of Brexit on Britain’s control of its own affairs, October and December 2023

October 2023December 2023
MoreSameLessMoreSameLess
%%%%%%
Remain voters
Re-join708088638292
Stay out2313632125
Leave voters
Re-join92359111939
Stay out876438857151
Non-voters
Re-join545064485065
Stay out3013184225

Two implications follow.

First, it is far from certain that another referendum would produce a majority for re-joining. Despite widespread doubts about the benefits of Brexit, the anti-Brexit lead in the polls is not that large, differs between polling companies, and is far from invulnerable.

Second, much might rest in any referendum on the preferences of those who reckon Brexit has not made much difference. Seemingly many of them could yet decide it would be better for Britain to make the best of the bed it has now made for itself rather than pursuing the uncertain prospect of trying to reclaim its old one.

By John Curtice, Senior Fellow, UK in a Changing Europe, Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research, and Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde.
 
For people who have some analytical ability it’s clear why applying to join. the EU would be very bad for the UK

  1. Will the EU have us back? The EU’s position is likely to be that firstly it doesn’t want the hassle and secondly, it would only do so if it was “the UK’s settled political will” and there’s no evidence that exists. So the short answer is no. Then there are a series of questions currently no one is asking, but would have to be asked.
  2. Rejoining would certainly mean an end to the UK rebate, which was about 6.3bn a year, that added to what would be the current contribution of about 15bn would take the cost of rejoining to circa 21bn/yr
  3. Rejoining would mean no more veto’s to the likes of the social chapter
  4. Being forced to join the Euro
  5. Being forced in Schengen which would remove UK border controls with France and allow a flood of what are currently illegal migrant asylum seekers.
  6. The EU has moved towards pooled debt, and that could put the UK on the hook for huge liabilities. These currently would be more than the NHS budget
There are a number of other elements, but faced with those questions and costs and social costs of mass asylum seeker migration, the answer from the public would be “no thanks”
 
One of the (many) things the rejoiners ignore is that in reality any application from the UK to join the EU in the future will simply be vetoed by multiple member states, for a generation or two at least. The rest of the EU, once the initial shock wore off, has now come to appreciate Brexit and the absence of the British.

We never fitted in and never would.
 
More confirmation that the number of people who may consider supporting a rejoin campaign is on a downward trajectory. That’s why it’s not part of the mainstream political agenda

Table 4: Current Brexit preference by 2016 EU referendum vote by evaluations of the impact of Brexit on Britain’s control of its own affairs, October and December 2023

October 2023December 2023
MoreSameLessMoreSameLess
%%%%%%
Remain voters
Re-join708088638292
Stay out2313632125
Leave voters
Re-join92359111939
Stay out876438857151
Non-voters
Re-join545064485065
Stay out3013184225

Two implications follow.

First, it is far from certain that another referendum would produce a majority for re-joining. Despite widespread doubts about the benefits of Brexit, the anti-Brexit lead in the polls is not that large, differs between polling companies, and is far from invulnerable.

Second, much might rest in any referendum on the preferences of those who reckon Brexit has not made much difference. Seemingly many of them could yet decide it would be better for Britain to make the best of the bed it has now made for itself rather than pursuing the uncertain prospect of trying to reclaim its old one.

By John Curtice, Senior Fellow, UK in a Changing Europe, Senior Research Fellow, National Centre for Social Research, and Professor of Politics, University of Strathclyde.
I'm glad to see people are back to talking about brexit again.
Was it yesterday they'd all stopped?
 
One of the (many) things the rejoiners ignore is that in reality any application from the UK to join the EU in the future will simply be vetoed by multiple member states, for a generation or two at least. The rest of the EU, once the initial shock wore off, has now come to appreciate Brexit and the absence of the British.

We never fitted in and never would.
The problem with that is the UK has to rejoin to fix the economy.
So what will it have to offer the EU and member states to avoid that scenario?
 

SFI - What % were you taking out of production?

  • 0 %

    Votes: 112 38.4%
  • Up to 25%

    Votes: 111 38.0%
  • 25-50%

    Votes: 42 14.4%
  • 50-75%

    Votes: 6 2.1%
  • 75-100%

    Votes: 4 1.4%
  • 100% I’ve had enough of farming!

    Votes: 17 5.8%

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